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What can you believe about the future? The respected global intelligence analyst George Friedman's newly created online endeavor Geopolitical Futures delivers, among other things, "daily reality checks to distinguish what matters from what doesn't."
A popular speaker at Council programs, Dr. Friedman has displayed a quick, keen analytical grip on the world's issues for years. For this program he'll be discussing "The Emerging Crisis in Europe."
Geopolitical Futures' publications are described as "regular forecasts and assessments" including "daily intelligence briefs analyzing events as they occur." The range of interest includes refugee challenges, economic issues, military strategy and secret talks.
As an example, a mid-December "Reality Check" written by Friedman began, "A regional realignment triggered by the Russians and Islamic State, and beneficial to the United States, is potentially underway."
Ultimately, the online assessment of "secret talks in Switzerland" says, "It is unlikely to extend to a settlement on Gaza, but from the American point of view, anything that draws Turkey closer to the position of opposing IS [Islamic State] is beneficial…Nothing is settled and of course we are dealing with the Middle East. Nevertheless, a realignment triggered by the Russians and IS, and beneficial to the United States, is underway. Maybe."
Dr. Friedman has created a list of "developments the world can expect to see in 2016." No political specifics in the predictions, but he does see the U.S. strengthening its relationship with Iran and the U.S. and Russia working out "an implicit or explicit settlement in 2016 regarding the conflict in Ukraine."
The analyst is the author of six books, including The New York Times best-sellers The Next 100 Years and Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe.
In explaining the mission of Geopolitical Futures, he said, "There is an assumption by most people that international affairs are unpredictable. I don't believe that's true and I think that can be seen in the books I've written."
Dr. Friedman founded Austin-based Stratfor in 1996, stepped down as its chairman in May, 2015, and then launched Geopolitical Futures on Dec. 2, 2015.
He earned a bachelor degree in political science at City College of New York and a Ph.D. in government at Cornell University. He lives in Austin.
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|THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 18, 2016
|5:30 PM Reception
6:00 PM Program
|Complimentary, Global Forum members only